Friday, September 13, 2013

RYAN STEELE'S NFL WEEK 2 PICKS

Thursday

New York Jets (+12) OVER NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS:  WINNER!

Sunday

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (-2.5) VS. Miami Dolphins:  This is a strange line because on paper the Colts should be about a 6.5 favorite given their vast advantage in talent but we saw last week in their struggle to beat Oakland that they also are a bit overrated.  The line is a bit of an overreaction to their close call last week and the Colts qualify for a 34-11-4 ATS home momentum angle.  THE PICK:  Indianapolis Colts (-2.5)

Carolina Panthers (-3) VS. BUFFALO BILLS:  THIS GAME IS ONE OF RYAN STEELE"S BEST BETS FOR THE WEEK AND IS FOR SUBSCRIBERS ONLY.  USE THE BUY NOW TAB ON THE HOMEPAGE TO PURCHASE.******

HOUSTON TEXANS (-9.5) VS. Tennessee Titans:  Big line with both teams coming off a win but that just shows you the utter lack of respect the betting world has for the Titans.  Quite frankly Tennessee is still a dog in my view despite their over the Steelers last week so I understand the reasoning for the 9.5.  Houston was sleepwalking through the first half of their road win against the Chargers in Week 1 before getting their act together and I can see them being more focused this time around.  Betting line is begging you to take the points off the Titans win but I don't value that victory much so I won't fall for it.  THE PICK:  Houston Texans (-9.5)

BALTIMORE RAVENS (-6.5) VS. Cleveland Browns:******THE GAME IS ONE OF RYAN STEELE"S BEST BETS FOR THE WEEK AND IS FOR SUBSCRIBERS ONLY!  USE THE BUY NOW TAB ON THE HOMEPAGE TO PURCHASE.******

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (-7.5) VS. San Diego Chargers:  The Eagles at least for one half showed how potent the Chip Kelly offense can be and they won't meet much resistance against a horrid San Diego defense that allowed the Houston Texans to march up and down the field in blowing last week's game.  The thing is that Philip Rivers still has some talent (4 TD's in Week 1) and is capable of keeping this close.  However can also see the Eagles running them out of the building early and putting the defensive clamps down on the mistake-prone Rivers.  Trends going in both directions so I will pass.  THE PICK:  PASS

GREEN BAY PACKERS (-7) VS. Washington Redskins:********THIS GAME IS ONE OF RYAN STEELE'S BEST BETS FOR THE WEEK AND IS FOR SUBSCRIBERS ONLY.  USE THE BUY NOW TAB ON THE HOMEPAGE TO PURCHASE.******

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-3) VS. Dallas Cowboys:  We don't know yet how good the Chiefs are as they didn't get much of a test at all in going against the worst team in the NFL in the Jacksonville Jaguars last week.  They give the requisite 3 points to a Cowboys team who really didn't look great themselves against the Giants but who benefited from six turnovers.  Tough call here as there is value on both sides but Andy Reid has had the Cowboys' number over the years and has plenty of notes on them from playing them twice a season for the last 14 years when he was Philly's coach.  THE PICK:  Kansas City Chiefs (-3)

CHICAGO BEARS (-6) VS. Minnesota Vikings:  I am sorry the Bears should not be giving 6 points to anyone no matter who good they looked last week.  This is still an offensive that goes through long cold spells and the Vikings defense is a much better outfit than they looked last week versus Detroit.  This is a game of adjustments every week and can't see Minnesota getting run over two weeks in a row in the division.  Divisional games always bring out the best in teams when it comes to performance and for that alone the Vikings should keep it competitive throughout the game.  THE PICK:  Minnesota Vikings (+6)

ATLANTA FALCONS (-6.5) VS. St. Louis Rams:  THIS GAME IS ONE OF RYAN STEELE'S BEST BETS FOR THE WEEK AND IS FOR SUBSCRIBERS ONLY.  USE THE BUY NOW TAB ON THE HOMEPAGE TO PURCHASE.******

New Orleans Saints (-3) VS. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS:  Lots of controversy in Tampa right now as QB Josh Freeman missed a team picture on the heels of his awful performance in Week 1 against the New York Jets.  The Saints came up with a huge win at home against the Atlanta Falcons and should not have a letdown here since this is still a divisional game.  Ordinarily a home underdog in the division is a nice betting ankle but things look like they are about to implode in Tampa so go the other way.  THE PICK:  New Orleans Saints (-3)

Detroit Lions (-1.5) VS. ARIZONA CARDINALS:  The Cards continue to lose games they should win such as last week's late fade versus the St. Louis Rams.  The Lions meanwhile steamrolled the Minnesota Vikings and could be a tad overconfident going out on the road.   Perfect trap game scenario as Carson Palmer has this Cardinals offense in high gear from a passing perspective.  The Lions defense is nothing to write home about either so the points looking nice in a solid bounceback on the home club.  THE PICK:  Arizona Cardinals (+1.5)

Denver Broncos (-4.5) VS. NEW YORK GIANTS:  There is no doubt Peyton Manning was a monster in Week 1 with 7 touchdown passes agianst the Baltimore Ravens.  However the line is a bit inflated as the Giants are a much better team than they were last week against Dallas.  In fact despite five turnovers the Giants were in position to take the lead with 2 minutes to go before the last turnover finished them for good.  The Giants are a nice bet getting points as a home underdog here as Eli Manning is surely motivated to beat his brother for the first time in his career.  THE PICK:  New York Giants (+4.5)

OAKLAND RAIDERS (-5.5) VS. Jacksonville Jaguars:  Sorry I really want nothing to do with this slopfest in waiting.  I never like to bet in a game with two bad teams and that certainly applies here.  Let it go.  THE PICK:  PASS

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (-3) VS. San Francisco 49ers:  What a great game this is going to be.  The 49ers looked like the best team in football last week in beating the Green Bay Packers while the Seahawks typically struggled on the road in the 1:00 slot.  They are a much more potent team at home as the home crowd will be going delirious in this one.  Tough call either way since both teams are among the best in the game and with no clear angle going in either direction, embrace the points.  THE PICK:  San Francisco 49ers (+3)

CINCINNATI BENGALS (-6.5) VS. Pittsburgh Steelers:  I really don't know what to make of either of these two as they both looked so shaky and downright miserable at times in losing their respective openers.  The Bengals have the clear edge in talent but 6.5 is asking a lot versus a proud Pittsburgh team looking for a rebound.  THE PICK:  Pittsburgh Steelers (+6.5)


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